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The Future of the Supply Chain 2020+

Basis of the Study When

Basis of the Study When creating the scenarios, special emphasis was placed on the use of established processes and quality criteria (see Chermack, 2011: Schnaars & Ziamou, 2001). Consistency and plausibility were key aspects during multiple revision loops. Using this methodology, the study established four central scenarios for the „Future of the Supply Chain 2020+“. They were developed pursuant to the two future-driving dimensions of „Degree of Integration of the Supply Chain“ and „Regional Scope“. These two dimensions reflect two of the main challenges of the future: globalization vs. regionalization and integration vs. cooperation. Application of the scenario axis logic to the supply chain context, specifically in regard to possible expressions of the regional scope and the degree of integration, produced four different scenarios for the period of now until 2020 and beyond: Each scenario is a retrospective from the future and all use the same seven dimensions, which enables a direct comparison of the scenarios. In addition to the consistency of the content, the plausibility is also a central quality criterion in the scenarios. To that end, additional courses and possible developments throughout the course of the respective scenario were described. The drafted scenarios help decision makers simulate different developments, trends and trend gaps, thereby expanding their own planning basis. They can be directly aligned with the strategic planning, as well as the risk and innovation management. The study at hand gives each of these four „scenario heroes“ strategic recommendations for courses of action that can be taken to actively, effectively, strategically and most importantly, successfully structure their supply chain in a manner that secures the future of the supply chain. Within that context, possible decision options and criteria associated with them are also addressed throughout the course of the study. 1 2 3 4 The work of regional networks where the „Regional Ruler“ is at the center The work of digital networking where the „Information Leader“ is at the center The work of local individualists where the „Survival Artist” is at the center The work of specialized innovators where the „King of the Niche Market“ is at the center 8

Basis of the Study Data Basis In order to ensure a direct relevance for practical business, supply chain decision-makers in an international environment were asked how relevant they considered the four scenarios to be for the future. Current expectations as to how the trend toward globalization will continue further underscore the results. The results also show that focusing on regionally-limited activities also offers opportunities to establish oneself in a special niche market. Relevance of the Four Scenarios in the Future ©Copyright msg systems ag (Online Survey of Supply Chain Decision Markers in Social 18% 3% 26% Networks) High I. World of regional networks Degree of II. World of digital networking 53% Local Regional scope Global Scenario I: High supply chain integration and regional action radius III. World of local individualists IV. World of specialized innovators Scenario II: High supply chain integration and global action radius Scenario III: Low supply chain integration and regional action radius Low Scenario IV: Low supply chain integration and global action radius 9

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Über msg



msg ist eine unabhängige, international agierende Unternehmensgruppe mit weltweit mehr als 6.000 Mitarbeitern. Sie bietet ein ganzheitliches Leistungsspektrum aus einfallsreicher strategischer Beratung und intelligenten, nachhaltig wertschöpfenden IT-Lösungen für die Branchen Automotive, Banking, Food, Insurance, Life Science & Healthcare, Public Sector, Telecommunications, Travel & Logistics sowie Utilities und hat in über 35 Jahren einen ausgezeichneten Ruf als Branchenspezialist erworben.

Die Bandbreite unterschiedlicher Branchen- und Themenschwerpunkte decken im Unternehmensverbund eigenständige Gesellschaften ab: Dabei bildet die msg systems ag den zentralen Kern der Unternehmensgruppe und arbeitet mit den Gesellschaften fachlich und organisatorisch eng zusammen. So werden die Kompetenzen, Erfahrungen und das Know-how aller Mitglieder zu einem ganzheitlichen Lösungsportfolio mit messbarem Mehrwert für die Kunden gebündelt. msg nimmt im Ranking der IT-Beratungs- und Systemintegrationsunternehmen in Deutschland Platz 7 ein.


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