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The Future of the Supply Chain 2020+

Basis of the Study KPI

Basis of the Study KPI Today I. World of regional networks II. World of digital networking III. World of local individualists IV. World of specialized innovators Volume of the German logistics market by Transport 44.0 41.0 46.0 33.0 38.0 business field 2011 in % Warehouse / turnover 26.0 31.0 24.0 31.0 29.0 (Kille & Schwemmer, 2012) Stock 20.0 19.0 14.0 21.0 21.0 Order processing 6.0 7.0 10.0 13.0 8.0 Logistics planning 4.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 Emergence of good in Germany 2011 Road 3,195.0 3,370 3,727 3,204 3,250 in millions of tons Rail 304.0 322.0 402.0 285.0 304.0 (Kille & Schwemmer, 2012) Inland waterway transport 102.0 107.0 282.0 136.0 102.0 Pipeline 87.0 90.0 92.0 87.0 87.0 Maritime shipping 112.0 144.0 185.0 99.0 112.0 Air freight 2.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 Outsourcing rate in Germany in 2011 Transport 71.4 +11% +13% +15% +13% in units of billion € Stock management / turnover 24.0 +9% +9% +10% +9% (Kille & Schwemmer, 2012) Order processing / planning 14.0 +16% +25% +2% +18% Stock 0.5 +8% +11% +5% +12% Top logistics markets in EU-29 in 2011 Total for all of Europe 950.0 1,460 1,510 1,010 1,270 in units of billion € Germany 223.0 +32% +35% +38% +37% (Kille & Schwemmer, 2012) France 131.0 +19% +21% +19% +19% Great Britain 93.0 +12% +12% +16% +15% Italy 83.7 +12% +13% +8% +10% Spain 76.2 +13% +13% +11% +9% The Netherlands 56.8 +11% +9% +11% +10% EBIT margin as %, overall German logistics market (Kille & Schwemmer, 2013) 2011: 3.2 (2010: 3.2; 2009: 2.3) 2.5 3.6 1.8 3.5 Growth of the overall German logistics market 2014 +3% +3% +1.5% +3% as % 2015 +4% +5% +0.5% +2.5% (Kille & Schwemmer, 2013) 2013: +3 (Best case) 2016 2012: +2 +5% +6% +0.5% +2% 2017 2011: +6 +4% +5.5% +0.5% +2% 2018 2010: +6 +3.5% +5.5% +/-0% +2% 2009: -9 2019 +3.5% +4% +/-0% +2.5% 2020 +3.5% +4% +/-0% +2.5% Components of Total Logistics Costs for German Transportation cost 29.5 31 35 20 30 Manufacturing Firms in % 2011 Packaging 16.3 20 25 25 22 (Handfield et al., 2013) Warehousing cost 13.2 12 9 14 13 Inventory cost 9.2 8 6 11 10 Admin / management cost 7.6 9 11 7 9 Cost of VAS 7.6 11 9 15 14 Others 16.4 9 5 8 2 10

Overview Scenarios of the Future of the Supply Chain 2020+ The world of regional networks: In this scenario, the „Regional Ruler“ actively manages their regional network and uses information technology as an enabler. The focus is clearly on a strong integration of their partners into the network. This ensures regional orientation and alignment. The world of digital networking: In this scenario, the „Information Leader“ holds considerable information power thanks to a high degree of - and standardized - system integration along the entire supply chain, including globally-used logistics and integration of the „Internet of Things“. This allows them to quickly react to changes in the market, as well as the demands of the market. The world of local individualists: The „survival artist“ with less technological development, high margin pressure and considerable procurement, operational and sales competence survives thanks to their high level of individualization as well as the quality of their products and services - for which their customers are more than happy to accept longer handling times. The world of specialized innovators: The „King of the Niche Market“ has a lesser degree of integration, but a global scope thanks to their strong brand, exclusivity and above all, their considerable innovative strength - meaning, the ability to acquire and process data and information, even including big data, and to turn it into innovation solutions is their main competitive advantage. 11

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msg ist eine unabhängige, international agierende Unternehmensgruppe mit weltweit mehr als 6.000 Mitarbeitern. Sie bietet ein ganzheitliches Leistungsspektrum aus einfallsreicher strategischer Beratung und intelligenten, nachhaltig wertschöpfenden IT-Lösungen für die Branchen Automotive, Banking, Food, Insurance, Life Science & Healthcare, Public Sector, Telecommunications, Travel & Logistics sowie Utilities und hat in über 35 Jahren einen ausgezeichneten Ruf als Branchenspezialist erworben.

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